On July 17, 1864, a telegram reached William Tecumseh Sherman at his field headquarters outside Atlanta. The Confederate Army of Tennessee had a new commanding general. Jefferson Davis had removed Joseph Johnston and handed the army to John Bell Hood.
Sherman read the message and called in his core commanders. He told them that Hood was bold to the point of rashness. He said Hood would strike without hesitation and without always accounting for what might happen after he struck.
Sherman had known Hood since they were cadets together at West Point. He had watched him across dinner tables and on parade grounds. He understood something essential about the way Hood moved through the world.
Hood believed in the frontal assault the way other men believed in God. Sherman was not celebrating this. He was warning his army.
Hood was born in Owingsville, Kentucky, in 1831. He graduated from West Point in 1853, ranked 44th in a class of 52. What people remembered about him was not his intellect but his physicality.
Sherman, who graduated in 1840 and returned as an instructor, observed Hood during his cadet years. He took measure of men the way a surveyor takes measure of terrain.
The two men crossed paths again in Texas. Hood served with the Second Cavalry and built a reputation for physical courage. He was relentless in the field and reckless with his own life.
During a scouting operation against Comanche raiders in 1857, Hood charged into a fight with a small detachment against a larger force. He took an arrow through the hand before driving the Comanches off. The army gave him a commendation.
When the war came, Hood went south. He attached himself to Texas and rose through the Confederate ranks with speed. He commanded the Texas Brigade in the Army of Northern Virginia and led from the front at full speed.
At Gaines' Mill, Second Bull Run, and Antietam, the Texas Brigade fought in all of them. Hood's name began to circulate in the letters and diaries of both armies.
At Gettysburg on the second day, a shell fragment tore through Hood's left arm. The arm never fully healed. At Chickamauga in September 1863, a musket ball struck his right leg, and the leg was amputated at mid-thigh.
He survived and was fitted with a cork leg. By the time he arrived in Georgia in early 1864, he was a man who had given the war two limbs.
Sherman watched all of this. He never revised his fundamental assessment. Bold to the point of rashness was a clinical observation, not a compliment.
What Sherman also knew was that Hood's relationship with tactical reality was incomplete. Hood could conceive of an attack and inspire men to execute it. What he struggled with was the gap between what an attack was supposed to accomplish and what it actually accomplished.
When an assault succeeded partially, Hood tended to record it as a success. When it failed entirely, he looked for someone else to blame.
Jefferson Davis did not see it this way. By July 1864, he had convinced himself that Johnston was simply going to retreat all the way to the Gulf of Mexico. Atlanta was the manufacturing and rail hub that kept the Confederate war machine functioning in the West.
Davis needed someone who would fight for the city. He removed Johnston before the experiment could conclude.
Hood took command on July 18. Sherman received confirmation and spent the evening sending intelligence to his generals and to Ulysses Grant. His prediction was precise.
Within days, Hood would attack. He would not wait. He would not maneuver.
He was right. The Battle of Peachtree Creek on July 20, 1864, was Hood's first engagement as army commander. The concept was sound enough, but the timing collapsed.
The Confederate units did not attack in coordination. Thomas organized his defense with unhurried efficiency. The Confederate attack broke against his lines.
Two days later came the Battle of Atlanta. Hood sent William Hardee's Corps on a night march to swing around the federal left. Hardee's men fought hard and killed James McPherson, the young general Sherman loved like a younger brother.
The assault did not destroy the Army of the Tennessee. It damaged it. McPherson's death hit Sherman with a grief he never entirely processed.
The Battle of Ezra Church came on July 28. Hood sent Stephen D. Lee and Alexander Stewart against Oliver Howard's Army of the Tennessee. Lee's corps attacked five times. Howard's men repulsed them five times.
Confederate casualties ran to somewhere between three and five thousand. Federal casualties were a fraction of that number.
Three major attacks in eight days. Roughly 13,000 Confederate casualties by the most conservative accounting. The Army of Tennessee was being consumed.
In late August, Sherman pulled most of his force off the lines north of the city and drove south toward the Macon and Western Railroad. The railroad was cut at Jonesboro.
Atlanta was untenable. Hood evacuated the city on September 1, blowing up his ammunition trains as he left.
Atlanta fell. Lincoln won the election.
Hood proposed a plan to swing north into Tennessee to cut Sherman's supply line. Sherman considered following Hood, then made a different calculation.
He detached George Thomas to Nashville with sufficient force to handle Hood. He turned his own army southeast toward Savannah.
He would not play Hood's game. He trusted Thomas to handle Hood.
Thomas was methodical in a way that drove his superiors to distraction. Grant sent message after message demanding that Thomas attack. Thomas refused to move until he was ready.
Hood, meanwhile, was doing what Sherman had always said he would do. He was attacking.
The approach to Franklin, Tennessee, in late November 1864 has the quality of Greek tragedy. Every element was visible in advance. Every outcome was avoidable in theory.
Spring Hill was where it was supposed to happen. On the afternoon of November 29, Hood's army closed on Spring Hill while Schofield's column was strung out along the Columbia-Franklin Pike.
The opportunity was as clear as anything Hood had encountered in the entire campaign. The orders were given, and then nothing happened.
Confederate officers reported hearing the federal column marching along the Pike in the small hours of the night. The calls went up the chain of command and died somewhere before they reached anyone with authority to act.
Schofield's column marched through the night and reached Franklin before dawn. The opportunity was gone.
Hood woke on the morning of November 30 to discover that his moment had slipped away. He was enraged. He was humiliated.
He would make the army fight. If the trap had failed, the frontal assault would not.
The ground at Franklin did not invite assault. Schofield had used the night to prepare his position. Field works thrown up in the dark, artillery positioned on the heights across the Harpeth.

Attacking required Hood's army to cross nearly two miles of open ground in the November afternoon.
Patrick Cleburne, one of the finest division commanders the Confederacy produced, reportedly tried to dissuade Hood from the assault. He led his division forward anyway. He was dead before the sun went down.
The assault at Franklin went forward at roughly 4:00 in the afternoon with around 20,000 Confederate soldiers moving across those open fields. It was one of the largest frontal attacks of the entire war.
The Confederates broke through at the center. For a period measured in minutes, the breakthrough held. Federal reserves plugged the gap.
The fighting lasted five hours and continued into the night. Nearly 7,000 Confederate soldiers were casualties.
Six Confederate generals were dead. Cleburne was among them. So was States Rights Gist. So was Hiram Granbury.
John Adams died on horseback. Otto Strahl was shot helping carry wounded from the field. John C. Carter was mortally wounded and would die two weeks later.
Six generals killed in a single afternoon's assault. The Army of Tennessee's officer corps had been decapitated in five hours.
Schofield withdrew that night and reached Nashville the following day. He had lost roughly 2,300 men. He had inflicted nearly three times that number on Hood's army.
Hood followed him north toward Nashville and took up a position south of the city. The Army of Tennessee had roughly 23,000 effective soldiers facing a federal force that was growing daily.
Hood did not have a clear plan. He had a position. He held it.
The temperature dropped. Thomas prepared. The Army of Tennessee sat in its frozen line south of Nashville, dwindling from desertion and cold.
Thomas took two weeks to prepare. Grant ordered Thomas to attack, then ordered him replaced when Thomas refused to move before he was ready.
The orders to relieve Thomas were in transit when the weather broke. Thomas moved on December 15.
The Battle of Nashville was not a battle in the traditional sense. It was a systematic destruction.
By the afternoon of December 16, the Army of Tennessee had ceased to exist as a coherent military force. It disintegrated into a route.
Hood, strapped to his horse in the December cold, watched his army come apart around him.
The campaign had lasted roughly two months. He had lost more than 30,000 men killed, wounded, captured, and the thousands more who simply walked away.
He submitted his resignation in January 1865. Jefferson Davis accepted it.
Sherman, meanwhile, had been marching through Georgia and then through the Carolinas. He was not fighting battles in the way Hood fought battles. He was destroying the Confederacy's ability to sustain itself.
His march to the sea reached Savannah in December 1864, the same month that Thomas was destroying Hood's army at Nashville.
Sherman had been right about everything. He had been right that Hood would attack. He had been right that the attacks would be costly and ultimately futile.
The difference between bold and rash is invisible at the company level and enormous at the army level. Sherman had understood this distinction before the first shot at Atlanta was fired.
Sherman knew Hood. Not as an abstraction, but as a human being whose character he had observed in the unhurried contexts of peacetime.
That personal knowledge produced intelligence that proved more accurate than anything derived from scouts or captured orders.
Hood, for his part, never seems to have developed a comparable understanding of Sherman. He understood Sherman as a capable federal general who could be hurt by aggressive attack.
He did not understand Sherman as a man whose patience was strategic rather than temperamental.
Hood's memoirs, written after the war while he was dying in New Orleans of yellow fever, are a long argument against the verdict that history was already beginning to render on his generalship.
He blamed Johnston's retreating. He blamed the failure at Spring Hill on Cheatham and Cleburne, the latter of whom was dead and could not answer. He blamed the Battle of Nashville on a breakdown of the army's fighting spirit.
What he could not bring himself to examine was the pattern that Sherman had identified in July 1864.
Sherman, in his memoirs written in the 1870s, returned to Hood several times with a mixture of admiration and pity. He acknowledged Hood's physical courage without reservation.
What Sherman could not do with any conviction was argue that Hood had been a good army commander. The record did not permit that argument.
The warning that Sherman issued on July 17, 1864, was an act of intelligence as profound as any that the war produced. It came from the accumulated observation of a man who had known John Bell Hood when Hood was simply a young officer making his way in a small army in a peacetime country.
The Confederacy's tragedy in the Western theater was not simply that it ran out of men and material. It was that in its hour of maximum crisis, it put in command a general whose character guaranteed a particular outcome.
Not because Hood was not brave. Not because he lacked the physical or moral courage the moment required. But because the qualities that had made him extraordinary in subordinate command were the same qualities that made him catastrophic in supreme command.
Sherman saw it because he had been paying attention since before the war. He saw it because he was constitutionally incapable of the kind of romantic projection that led Jefferson Davis to believe aggressive instinct could substitute for strategic judgment.
Hood fought hardest. At Peachtree Creek, Atlanta, Ezra Church, and Franklin, his men went forward with a ferocity that federal soldiers described with genuine awe.
They were formidable. They were brave. They were led by a man who could not accept that bravery had been answered, and that the moment called for something other than another attack.
The soldiers of the Army of Tennessee knew this. After Franklin, the diary entries and letters that survived from that March have a quality unlike anything written by those same men earlier in the war.
There is a hollowness, an absence of the confidence that had characterized even the darkest moments of the Atlanta campaign. They had charged and charged and charged, and nothing had changed except the count of who was left.
Sherman had known this. He had said it out loud in July of 1864 in a tent in Georgia to men who needed to understand what was coming.
The months that followed proved every syllable of it. The warning had been precise. The cost had been extraordinary.
And William Sherman, marching through the Carolinas as the new year opened and the war's last acts began to play out, had known it would be both.